(National Avіation University, 2024-04-05) Bocharova, А.; Бочарова, А.
A detailed analysis and comparison of the efficiency of smoothing methods and ARIMA models in forecasting the company's passenger traffic was performed. As a result of the research, it was established that the most effective model for forecasting passenger traffic is the ARIMA(12, 1, 0) model. This model provides sufficiently accurate forecasts that are able to take into account both the trend and seasonal variations in the time series.
